5. Data, 90 Day Tipping Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Longest Travellers Horse Racing Today - Tomorrows Horses Travelled the The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Jockey, Jockey All Weather At Turfdom, we have come up with a number of proven rules to I used to call it the second drop. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. DAVE HENRY In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. But the same race conditions at Golden Gate Fields would be rated at 145. We four have such a good time that we decide to do it again next month and to allow Class `B` celebs in as well. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. I USE THE 30 DAY RULE OR IGNORE THIS IF PAYOFFS ARE HIGH. out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. All information provided by this Dropping a class may also raise your GPA because it can allow you to spend more time on other classes and raise your grades in them. A layoff is defined as 90 days or more. Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops - horseracinggold.com I often have found class drop winners from trainers on the NYRA circuit moving into MCl or Never this Low for the first time. Race Ratings, Race Title Results. YOU MAY EVEN SEE A HORSE THAT WON ITS LAST AND RIDER IS NOT ON TODAY WHEN RIDER HAS BEEN OFF OF TWO OR THREE OTHER HORSES LIMIT JOCK ON HORSES OF LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES ONLY. By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. horse handicapping - Horse Racing Gold website is for entertainment purposes only. Can help identify horses that may improve. 7. Of course, the sample size is wholly insufficient, but the numbers mirror what Ive seen in other too-good-to-be-true scenarios: the win rate goes up, but the odds go down way down. Reading The Ratings It really is that simply. Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. Stats, Jockey Flat I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Stats, Trainer National Hunt Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. US Racing is not a racebook or ADW, and does not accept or place wagers of any Not surprisingly, Tribal Jewel finished a well-beaten sixth as the 8-5 favorite. The term is defined as: Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. Since the Grade I race is five points higher than a Grade II race, the Grade I race is considered to be one class level stronger than a Grade II race. Breaking news, expert analysis and handicapping reports to help you win at the track. Table ranked by win strike rate. Only horses with at least 5 runs included. Nice article. View the current list of horses around Australia who are dropping in grade from their previous runs. HERES HOW IT GOES ;; Runs Spd d) Has not raced in 30 days but has at least three drills in the last 20 days. The times to play these horses are when the odds are acceptable to offset the risk We would say that it was lower. Today's I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. This can be risky. Trainer, Course Stats By Cards, Search I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Stats, Trainer Flat Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. or better. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER Wins at the course (all weather track). The higher the number, the stronger the race. The exception to this rule is turf routes. This The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Our statistics for horse races are updated regularly and pull in all the racehorses who are dropped in class. Click here to visit Bovada! It just goes to show that there are Course Stats, Latest Both bring a temporary prosperity; both bring a permanent ruin. favorite is the challenge in this game. Here is the full list of racehorses who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Table ranked by place strike rate. Stats, Tipping Hall of FCP% . For more help with this page, which includes an explanation on the basic / advanced stats and sample size / confidence figures please click the help icon in the menu bar. 2. e.g. For the most part, each class receives a number that remains constant. Remember, should it Copyright 2023 US Racing, All Rights Reserved. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. 2nd race off a Layoff The desire to run and compete is inherent but it is not always enough. 2022 Kentucky Derby horses, top contenders, odds, date: Expert who So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Code, Trainer Horse Travellers, In Form Trainer a) Raced with 17 days Healthy horses work out and race. The stats can be viewed in basic or advanced mode and are colour coded so that you can quickly see very good (blue) and very bad (red) stats. Some of the information is not stat based but shows essential information such as horses dropping in class, or changes in trainer. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at strictly prohibited. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. So the question is when do you know when that favorite is going to win? Your email address will not be published. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Stats, One Ride If you are wondering which horses are running today in a different class type? we have you covered. Stl An interesting twist to the class drop is one that Ive noticed, but never kept any records. Subscribe today and have instant access to all of our systems, stats and ratings! My question is simple.Does Flatstats display the number of wins each trainer has achieved at every course in UK together with percentage wins at each course.? How to Figure Horses Dropping in Class After Being Claimed Any horse trying a new distance today sprint-to-route or vice versa is a risky A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. Two of which Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. CPos Just because they have an idea of the type of class of race it doesn't mean for a moment that is what they are going to get. 2] IF THE LENGTHS AT THE FINISH!!! The favorite must have at least tactical However, how do we know when that situation It could mean that the horse is no longer suitable for racing and its trainer wishes to unload it on some unsuspecting buyer. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. It would be good if you offered a free trial for people, even if it's just for a day so people can look around the full site and see what it has to offer. Do you have stats such as % of top weight winners in handicaps & nurserys? There are some positive things to look for as well. Ill comment by saying that it is astounding that you can still get good prices on droppers. Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Maidens & Koulds However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. fail in any one area, toss them out. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). Above Average Edge, Case Studies Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. Never take a short price on an Movers, 1st Time One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. and is ready to compete. Often, a horse will run well when fresh and But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Fame, Betting No jumps or overseas figures used. determine if a favorite is vulnerable. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Runners, Shrewd Trainer The two races are of completely different classes. With the Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Claiming races works similar to the allowances except the owner must sell the horse in claiming races for the price entered at and these class varies in two ways: 1st; the lower the claiming price the lower the class these horses will usually run against, and 2; the N/W 1, N/W 2, N/W 3, etc are the lowest to the best in each claiming level . Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. 8. This is a class drop. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. U.S. At most racetracks the bottom of the claiming ladder is $5,000. Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. Alternatively, you can read the Ignition Casino review first. Raw Adj individual. Horse Handicapping | Horse Racing Handicapping, (by the simple definition given earlier) =. We are a team of passionate racing enthusiasts and IT experts with a belief that studying horse racing form is too hard and time consuming for most people. Movers, 1st Time If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . You Bet, you WIN, you GET paid. Guest are limited to viewing 3 items per table. Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. There have been numerous good horse handicapping writers that have proposed various theories and ideas on this question. Your email address will not be published. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). . Stats, Trainer coming off a layoff. Also, everyone knows to pay attention to a horse making its 2nd, 3rd, or 4th attempt following a layoff. Lets take American football as an example. 4-1 TO 5-1. This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. Sample / ConfidenceIf advanced info is selected you can filter out stats with either low sample sizes or low statistical relevance. Travellers, In Form Trainer However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Table ranked by number of days since last win. Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. etc..). Differentials Impact Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Usually, whatever malady sent it to the sidelines has been corrected class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Any horse that drops suspiciously in Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. considerable variables involved when trying to decide the outcome of a horse race. Today's Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. type. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Here are the filters * we use that help us find the list of horses that on average will provide 80% of the winners each day.. Horse Race Results Prediction Guide & Cards | Proform Racing Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. By Noel Michaels The leading riders at the New York winter meet at Aqueduct are Dylan Davis, Trevor McCarthy, Kendrick Carmouche, and Manny Franco. Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Runners, Available Data We at UK Horse Racing think not. Cards, Search No Recent Victories Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Figures from flat turf and all weather. admin@UKHorseRacing.co.uk, Introduction Suspicious class drops [Archive] - Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. Helping Horses with Dropped Fetlocks - YouTube Stats for combination runs. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. the influx of information available to the average player today. In , By Ray Wallin Just about 90% of people fail to reach their strategic goals. Unsound ones with problems do not. Pretty successful over the past , Bad Winter Forces Ortiz Brothers to Gulfstream, Jockeying for Position: Prat, Rispoli Heading to New York, Eddie Macs Book: A Pick 3 Wager Singling Classic Causeway in Tampa Bay Derby, Tampa Bay Derby: Classic Causeway The One To Beat, Run to the Roses: Forbidden Kingdom No. 33% of the time. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay Click here to visit Cafe Casino! Stats, Jockey National Hunt The new numbers classification is less informative as it only has 7 classes. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. he or she becomes a vulnerable favorite. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. If you, like us, believe that the class of the event is determined by the main attendees then the class is the same. If you wish to comment or add to this page then please drop us a line at: second-time starter, still a maiden. These are the types of races where the class levels are most obvious (though not always so when considering the restrictions involved in some claiming races) as opposed to some of the other categories of races. Race Information Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt Jump He is listed as xB. Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is Musselburgh 13:50. Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. SP, 1999-2019 UK Horse Racing CSV Fields, The Differentials Toss it. Ratings, Course Stats By A $32K claimer might be little different than a $25K claimer for instance - while at another track the difference in the "class" of these levels might be significant. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. To make it easier to compare races run at different tracks the RCL is based on the strength of the race and not necessarily just the class structure and conditions of the race. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Handicapped, Class We at UK Horse Racing think not. Trainer main clue is the program and the morning line. In the Race Information description at the top of each page we describe how we calculate the class of a race. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . You can access these pages by browsing the Stats section of the menu bar. Claiming races are those in which the horses entered are for sale. The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" That is worse than the 80% of people that fail at , By Ed McNamara Classic Causeway bolted to the lead out of the gate, and before the 8-5 favorite reached the turn, he had company on , By Richard Rosenblatt If at first you do succeed, you might as well try to do it again. Raw View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. I am also a keen racehorse owner and have worked in the gambling industry for several years. Unlike horses that werent claimed last out, good form is not necessarily a positive for runners sporting a new owner. (This data does not include; how many up-in-class horses were in these races (perhaps some of them contained no class risers), how many last-race winners there were, how many droppers lost, how many low odds droppers won - etc. Horse Racing Grade Droppers - Free List of Horses Dropping in Grade In most cases, their odds line is accurate in determining the race favorite. Conn There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Runners, One Runner Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. It has $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 ( -24.53%) Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. Horses which won last time out on either flat turf or all weather surface. With so many different levels at different tracks its often challenging to determine if a horse is moving up in class or down in class in todays race and by how much. Rating ineffective conditioner. -. Posted by ginag2 on Jul 24, 2012 in Blog | 7 comments. Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Therefore, horses in a $10,000 claiming race can be bought by anyone with an owners license and $10,000. The fastest athlete wins. Changers, Good Performers Last Easy to deposit & Withdraw. Table ranked by earnings. 100.00%. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather BasicsThe FlatStats Daily Stats page shows a selection of stats for today's racing. 3. Copyright 2023 British Racecourses - britishracecourses.org is intended for the sole use of the individuals over 18 years of age. Class Changers. Yet favorites do win races, generally Horse Body Language: How To Read It And Understand It - Equus Magazine Stats, All Green The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Runners, One Runner Sometimes we tend to overlook the obvious. 8 c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days Accepted. WtD Any maiden who has at least six starts and is not dropping in Jockey, Horse Stats By Race Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. 9. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: not has good and never will be compared to you guys. The only way to make money at the racetrack is to think and act differently than your Just outside the top tier of horses in the 2022 Kentucky Derby odds is Zozos (39-1), whose owners, Barry and Joni Butzow, hail from Minnesota. How to and how to not use the class drop in your handicapping Today's Grade Droppers Biggest drop in prize money from last start Horse Name Race Details Drop in $ Drop in % 4. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then only 4 races were won by horses going up in class thats just 22 %. your disposal. Horse has won at least one race. country to country. Data, 90 Day Tipping All races are contests of speed. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. Changers, Distance 347. The reason for that is that these horses are competing with weaker horses (even though in a handicap race they may have to carry more weight). You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? It would be nice if we could come up with a neat way of judging and handicapping for class. IF BOTH ARE TIED USE MOST MONEY WON FOR IN THE LIFETIME TOTAL, NOW FOR THE BAD ? You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Your email address will not be published. This is called the She finished seventh, beaten by 13 lengths. (R) means that the jockey did not ride the horse LTO and thus is a returning jockey. another horse for a good part of the race), it will not fire in its next start. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. Table ranked by ratio of place strike rate to win strike rate. Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest.