Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. As we discussed earlier this week, House Democrats plan on passing a one point nine trillion dollar American rescue plan by the end of the week. The crew previews what to expect on Election Day and listens to some of the most common types of campaign ads aired this cycle. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. FT Podcasts FT Weekend podcast 31 min listen Best of: Chef Mashama Bailey on reclaiming African-American food The award-winning chef explains her creative process 2 hours ago FT News Briefing. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. The results are mixed in terms of which factions of both parties performed well and the marquee Republican Senate primary race in Pennsylvania is still close to call and could remain that way for days. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and game-changers every week. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). In the main event, former light All you have to do is click the iTunes button below to subscribe to this podcast. Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . 01:00 PM. Thats Changing. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. r/fivethirtyeight. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They determine whether we live in a free or repres They consider how much. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Hello and welcome to the identity politics podcast I'm deal injury work. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. New York City-based political reporters Gloria Pazmino and Erin Durkin discuss the current lay of the land in the Democratic mayoral primary and the issues that are motivating voters with less than a month until the election. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. All rights reserved. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. June 2, 2016. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. And if partisan loyalists were to make their way onto the Fed board, that degree of power could be abused. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . They also preview next week's mayoral election in Chicago and ask whether a new poll of Arizona's 2024 Senate race is actually telling us anything useful. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Instagram did not return a 200. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. Legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux speaks with Galen Druke about the Justices' arguments for overturning Roe v. Wade, where the legal debate goes next and how this contrasts and complements American opinion on abortion. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. . They also discuss the conditions that would have to be present in order for a third party to actually be viable in the American political system. david senak now. All. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. 0:00:00 Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. What does the bench of Democratic leadership look like beyond Biden? They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". We hear from two people involved in the progressive movement in New York City about their thoughts on whats happening in the race and how progressivism is shaping politics more broadly. They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. heritage commons university of utah. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Zach and ESPN's Michael Schwartz break down the red-hot Suns ahead of their showdown with the Warriors, then ESPN's Dave McMenamin checks in on the Lakers -- plus . The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss a recently published assessment of how our 2022 midterm forecast performed. 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. No place like 'Nam. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. The crew breaks down Rep. Liz Cheney's loss, what comes next, and who's currently up and down in Alaska. The crew discusses which states will determine the balance of both chambers and what theyve learned from this election so far. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. Today those numbers have flipped. As the House Select Committee for Jan. 6 publishes its final report, the crew considers what the committee's impact has been on American politics and former President Donald Trump's standing with voters. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. The crew discusses why the Republican National Committee chose to censure Representatives Cheney and Kinzinger and how different parts of the party view the violent events of January 6th, 2021. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. My mid-week morning train WFH reads: The SPAC Fad Is Ending in a Pile of Bankruptcies and Fire Sales: At least eight businesses that went public through mergers with "blank-check" companies have sought protection from creditors. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Preview of Spotify. Nate Silver's. They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. The crew discusses why Sarah Palin may not be a shoe-in for a vacant House seat in Alaska. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. The State Of The Polls, 2016. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views [00:00:19] Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. Democratic representative from California Adam Schiff discusses why he thinks American democracy is in trouble, which he lays out in his new book "Midnight In Washington: How We Almost Lost Our Democracy And Still Could.". Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. No products in the cart. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . They also consider the causes of hyperinflation, as Democrats and Republicans blame different culprits for the highest rate of inflation in 40 years. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. This is the final episode. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. People are angry and politicians are pointing fingers. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. LS 81 Global Rank TOP 0.01% ABOUT THIS PODCAST Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew also takes a look at the changes to election law that Republicans have proposed in Georgia and other states after Trump's loss in 2020. The crew reacts to the results in Tuesdays primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Kentucky and Oregon. In recent weeks, Democrats odds of keeping control of the Senate after the 2022 midterms have ticked up to sixty percent, according to our deluxe forecast model. 9 days ago. The Downballot is a weekly podcast dedicated to the many elections that take place below the presidency, from Senate to city council. Happy holidays! So, the usual. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. Feb. 25, 2021. info. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. 01:06 PM. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. They also ask whether a sentiment analysis suggesting that the press is more negative on Biden than it was on President Trump is a "good or bad use of data.". The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. Edit your transcribed text. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here.
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